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NDNation.com Staff: Scott Engler - Michael Cash - John Vannie - Mike Coffey - Kayo - Bacchus

Friday, September 04, 2009

And the Readers Expect... 9.5 Wins in 2009.

posted by Scott Engler
(Thanks to Farley for Compiling) - Based on a survey of over 8,000 fanatic crazies, the percentage following the team name is the average confidence level for each game.
WSU - 95.0%
Washington - 94.8%
Navy - 94.3%
UConn - 89.9%
Purdue - 89.8%
Nevada - 87.7%
Stanford - 78.8%
Michigan - 75.6%
BC - 74.5%
Pitt - 72.0%
MSU - 65.1%
USC - 41.0%
The expected wins is the sum of the percentages over the season. Drum roll...
Expected wins - 9.585

Probability of:
12 wins - 5.13%
11 wins - 19.7%
10 wins - 30.3%
Which gives a probability of a 10+ win season of 55.1%.

It should be noted that Notre Dame Fan estimates were winning 8 games
in 2008 and 7 games in 2007. We won 6 and 3 in those years.

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2 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Interesting summary. Not sure if anyone is watching the Navy game right now, but Ricky Dobbs is no joke!

-Ray

9/05/2009 02:16:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

yea but so are the irish! 35-0 baby!

9/09/2009 11:18:00 AM  

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