And the Readers Expect... 9.5 Wins in 2009.
posted by Scott Engler
(Thanks to Farley for Compiling) - Based on a survey of over 8,000 fanatic crazies, the percentage following the team name is the average confidence level for each game.
Probability of:
It should be noted that Notre Dame Fan estimates were winning 8 games in 2008 and 7 games in 2007. We won 6 and 3 in those years.
WSU - 95.0%The expected wins is the sum of the percentages over the season. Drum roll...
Washington - 94.8%
Navy - 94.3%
UConn - 89.9%
Purdue - 89.8%
Nevada - 87.7%
Stanford - 78.8%
Michigan - 75.6%
BC - 74.5%
Pitt - 72.0%
MSU - 65.1%
USC - 41.0%
Expected wins - 9.585
Probability of:
12 wins - 5.13%Which gives a probability of a 10+ win season of 55.1%.
11 wins - 19.7%
10 wins - 30.3%
It should be noted that Notre Dame Fan estimates were winning 8 games in 2008 and 7 games in 2007. We won 6 and 3 in those years.
2 Comments:
Interesting summary. Not sure if anyone is watching the Navy game right now, but Ricky Dobbs is no joke!
-Ray
yea but so are the irish! 35-0 baby!
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