Hopkins, Albany, Stony Brook and Bryant. We should move ahead of Albany in polls and likely in the committee's mind.
Selection Sunday will be very interesting with a couple of unexpected AQs making it in.
You now have Hopkins with six losses and Duke with 7. At least one of those teams should not make it.
The bubble has shrunk, but not as significantly as it first appeared. Moreover, several bubble teams -- Penn, Penn State and Stony Brook come to mind -- took themselves off the bubble with first round losses in their respective conference tournaments.
Albany probably claimed one at-large bid. Denver claimed another, but Marquette probably would have claimed that bid otherwise. At this point, I think there are only three bubble teams left: Navy, Rutgers and Villanova. One of those teams will be in, and the others will be out, if Yale beats Harvard. If Harvard beats Yale, Yale will get the last at-large bid and aall three will be out.
But...then that's why I'm not on the committee
I've always thought that polls, no matter the sport, give far too much weight to recency of losses. That's the only possible justification for dropping us all the way to #7.