ND almost certainly would be out with a #12 rating
by ShermanOaksND (2015-01-14 15:51:11)
Edited on 2015-01-14 16:08:39
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  In reply to: Thanks. What happens if ND is #12? Would we get bounced out  posted by rockmcd



In fact, to ensure itself of one of the Big Six bowls, ND would need a top 7 rating in 2015 and a top 5 rating in 2016 (or, in 2016, be picked for the Orange Bowl over a Big Ten or SEC team, which probably would require ND to be rated ahead of such teams). In 2017, like 2014, ND would need a top 9 rating to be essentially guaranteed a spot. In all scenarios, ND possibly could get in as low as No. 11, but that would require all of the contract slots to be filled by top 10 teams. ND could get in as low as No. 12 if, in addition to all of the foregoing being satisfied, a "Group of 5" team (e.g., Boise State this year) were in the top 11. There seems to be no scenario for ND to make a Big Six bowl with a ranking of 13th or lower.

Here's why:

2015-2016 (and 2018-2019, 2021-2022 and 2024-2025)
Orange/Cotton -- semifinals (##1-4)
Rose/Sugar -- contract bids (Big Ten/Pac-12, SEC/Big 12)
Fiesta/Peach -- 3 OPEN SPOTS (need to be ##5-7 to be guaranteed) (plus one for highest "Group of 5" team)

2016-2017 (and 2019-2020, 2022-2023 and 2025-2026)
Fiesta/Peach -- semifinals (##1-4)
Rose/Sugar -- contract bids (Big Ten/Pac-12, SEC/Big 12)
Orange -- contract bids (ACC + SEC/Big Ten/ND)
Cotton -- 1 OPEN SPOT (need to be #5 to be guaranteed) (plus one for highest "Group of 5" team)

2017-2018 (and 2020-2021 and 2023-2024)
Rose/Sugar -- semifinals (##1-4)
Orange -- contract bids (ACC + SEC/Big Ten/ND)
Cotton/Fiesta/Peach -- 5 OPEN SPOTS (need to be #9 to be guaranteed) (plus one for highest "Group of 5" team


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