In all that you ignore the expected value of the death
by airborneirish (2024-01-29 23:40:17)

In reply to: You are not using the SSA table correctly at all  posted by OrangeJubilee

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You still come up with a 1/3 chance that he kicks the bucket while in office. But you don't want to say that's likely? Fine.

What is the cost of his death? What is the expected value of handling that? How do voters consider the "cost" of a Harris presidency? How does that influence their decision whether to vote and how?

Think harder. Some of you blow my mind with the knots you're willing to twist yourself into to justify sub optimal decision making.

You want to quibble on whether it's likely ... What is the minimal acceptable likelihood a president kicks the bucket in office?

Said another way, how does the random chacne that biden kicks the bucket as president? How does that compare to a 55 year old male with a Chronic Myeloid Leukemia (CML) diagnosis? How would you regard the decision making of a party that trotted such a person out as the candidate for POTUS?

But yes let's measure dicks over the hasty calculations done on the PBR instead.





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