If you're betting on any of this, I'll take all the bets
by wearendhockey (2024-01-31 15:44:16)

In reply to: None. He will win 15 states, if that.  posted by Domer84


I'll even give you odds on all but how many states Trump wins.

Trump will win every state he won in 2020, with the possible exception of North Carolina. He's going to get the same 46-47% of the popular vote he got in 2016 and 2020. Mondale got 40% of the popular vote in 1984. The only major party candidate to receive fewer than 40% of the popular vote in the last 50 years was George H.W. Bush, and that required Ross Perot to snatch 20% of the popular vote for himself. And unless he's dead or incapacitated in some fashion, Democrats are going to be running Joe Biden. No major party is willing to painted as a party in disarray by undergoing a candidate switch at a convention.

Seriously, what has happened in the last 4 years that would lead anyone to believe Trump is going to receive significantly less of the vote now than he did before? How many other shoes need to drop? His voters are his voters barring anything but their own demise.