I spent 5 minutes on the 538 site and with the obvious
by wpkirish (2024-01-11 10:09:53)

In reply to: I called Trump being DOA last year.  posted by EricCartman

Cannot Reply Return to Political

caveat that polls are a snapshot in time, It is difficult to see a path to victory for her.

Going through the states in order of their primary / caucus with Trump's current poll number. Obviously margin of error and solidifying the oppisition around 1 candidate can change the narrative but Haley needs to do more than consolidate the opposition. It is entirely possible the fact he will be in and out of courtrooms the next 60 days will turn voters but I think most of the people who that will affect have already chosen someone else.

Iowa 52
NH 42
NV 73
SC 52
MI 64
GA 55
MS. 48-61
AZ. 58
FL. 59
IL. 65


Replies: