The Ann Seltzer Iowa Poll is out

Trump leads 48% to 20% for Haley to 16% for DeSantis.

The numbers look worse for Haley under the hood. She has the lowest voter enthusiasm of the top 3, and is especially reliant on Democratic/Independent voters. Her favorable/unfavorable is awful at 48% favorable 46% unfavorable. Trump is at 69% favorable 29% unfavorable.

Looking at those numbers it's really unclear how Haley is ever going to win a state with a closed primary.

Click here for link at https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-p

Replies:

Pleased to see this thread. Recognition is growing that a la - sorin69 2024-01-15 20:05:20
- Are there common elements that lead to the rise of strongmen - Dutch 2024-01-16 12:35:43
  - It’s a world wide problem - airborneirish 2024-01-16 14:26:20
  - One point in How Democracies Die - AquinasDomer 2024-01-16 13:13:10
    - We are in an age of hyper partisanship combined with - wpkirish 2024-01-16 13:20:45
      - My read was that - AquinasDomer 2024-01-16 14:07:31
        I think erosion of institutions has obviated the need - ravenium 2024-01-16 14:42:34
I have a very different reaction to that data. - Cash 2024-01-14 23:50:38
- It's very disheartening. - Revue Party 2024-01-15 13:40:55
  - My fellow countrymen have disappointed me. - Cash 2024-01-15 18:50:05
    - Iowa - BeijingIrish 2024-01-16 12:13:46
      - “We can be cold - IAND75 2024-01-16 15:02:55
        You also had Gopher in the House - sprack 2024-01-16 15:37:10
      - Today is the second national holiday in 2 days - sprack 2024-01-16 13:28:09
    - In terms of his followers I would distinguish between - wpkirish 2024-01-16 10:23:56
    - Nailed it. This is a great post - sprack 2024-01-16 10:07:19
  - Agree completely - sprack 2024-01-15 15:38:43
    - Trump is Huey Long writ larger.... - Kbyrnes 2024-01-15 15:48:32
      - I was thinking Joe McCarthy, but Long works perfectly - sprack 2024-01-15 15:51:53
        MAGA = Trump, Trump = MAGA - Revue Party 2024-01-15 16:50:36
- “This is not who we are.” - IAND75 2024-01-15 10:44:17
  - I don't agree with that on the 74 million at all - sprack 2024-01-15 15:47:35
    - This is correct. * - krudler 2024-01-16 12:58:47
  - Here's another take... - Kbyrnes 2024-01-15 15:30:11
    - I heard a comment about a recent poll asking people if they - IAND75 2024-01-15 16:24:44
      - That figure does not surprise me. - Cash 2024-01-15 19:46:11
        Excellent post. I'd love to see civics taught in our.... - Marine Domer 2024-01-16 18:00:07
        I'm surprised it isn't higher. * - NDBass 2024-01-15 21:25:26
  - People who say the things like those in the quotes - wearendhockey 2024-01-15 11:37:23
    - Wouldn't your analogy be more apt if you used it.... - Marine Domer 2024-01-15 12:22:48
      - It's hard not to - Angel 2024-01-15 15:19:21
        That is a significant subset, but it's a subset, and even... - Marine Domer 2024-01-15 15:24:13
        What is good about MAGA? * - Dillon 2024-01-15 17:38:42
        Apparently some read better than you. So there’s that. * - Marine Domer 2024-01-15 22:46:37
  - Importantly, that is who the Republican Party is. - Barney68 2024-01-15 11:21:26
- I don't think it can be repeated enough, Trump is NOT the - wearendhockey 2024-01-15 10:43:31
  - You could say the same thing - AquinasDomer 2024-01-15 12:35:46
- With the weather I think it is more likely he will have an - wpkirish 2024-01-15 10:20:14
- Concur with this - shillelaghhugger 2024-01-15 00:01:31
  - They can both be true - AquinasDomer 2024-01-15 10:03:54
I prefer Alka's * - drmurray 2024-01-14 20:17:27
- New York's black cherry flavor is superior! * - enginerd194 2024-01-14 21:11:25
Does she have a chance if she’s a strong second? - ndsapper 2024-01-14 18:53:28
- I don't see how she wins South Carolina - AquinasDomer 2024-01-14 19:24:10
  - She’s twice won statewide majorities to be Governor. - Cash 2024-01-14 23:57:48
    - Yes. * - Barney68 2024-01-15 11:22:39
    - If she finds a way to win South Carolina - AquinasDomer 2024-01-15 09:59:44