I don't see how she wins South Carolina
by AquinasDomer (2024-01-14 19:24:10)

In reply to: Does she have a chance if she’s a strong second?  posted by ndsapper


She's doing this well on the backs of Independents/dems. Her voters in Iowa prefer Biden to Teump in a general. And to win she either needs to win voters from Trump (unlikely. They're the most enthusiastic about their guy) or win every vote from every voter backing a different candidate, including Ramaswamy. That seems unlikely.

I think her ceiling is McCain 2000. She can win NH, but winning that way doesn't leave a road to win much else.


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