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Post being replied to

Stop walking away from your words by OrangeJubilee

and changing to some side question without acknowledging the previous posts you made. This isn't a CNN town hall debate.

MarineDomer: "That is just wrong"
AirborneIrish Response:
"Instead Biden has around a coin flips chance of living 4.5 more years from today."
"Thus it is very likely he dies while in office." Followed by a comment that MarineDomer is making an error.

My post clearly shows my work (SSA tables are linked in another post if you want to cross-check, it won't let me re-link them) and that both of your statements are demonstrably false.

It is not a coin flip. It is certainly not (your words) "very likely". If it was, then how would you describe the 70% chance he does not die in office? Very Strenuously Likely? It is just prima facie wrong, admit it and move on. And even worse, these numbers are for average people at 80, I am sure for health, genetics, and medical care his odds are lower.

If you ran the numbers for a 76 year old making it to 80.5, there is a 20% chance of death. So it isn't like it went from zero to 30% or something.

Think harder? I have thought pretty hard using actual data, and will only address a bunch of new questions moving the goalposts after you agree it is neither a coin flip nor likely he dies in office.