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I think Newsom would be the odds on pick by Nyirish08
but he would have to figure out how to dispose of Harris.
I think Emhoff would do some wheeling and dealing on her behalf.
I believe Harris has made it clear to anyone with a hint of decision making power that if Biden abdicates, anyone who stands in her way would be a misogynist racist anti-American. And she'd go scorched earth on that.
She would need to be offered big money and some title like Chancellor of UC Berkeley or similar to exit stage left gracefully.