You'll need to account for vax distribution as well
by ndhouston (2021-08-02 15:49:27)
Edited on 2021-08-02 15:51:12

In reply to: I expect a smart quant guy will probably construct a formula  posted by Father Nieuwland


For example, Israel is continuing to struggle with delta. My guess is that the vaxxed/unvaxxed communities don't mix all that much due to religious differences, while in the NL and other parts of Europe (Portugal is showing a similar pattern) the headline vaxxed number is more realistic for the population as a whole.

My sense is that the US is more like Israel in that some of the unvaxxed communities are isolated enclaves by choice.