That's either a misleading conclusion or a wrong conclusion.
by tdiddy07 (2021-10-19 08:55:10)

In reply to: Agree  posted by NDAtty


These are the type of statements that the dumber among us read and say, "The vaccine doesn't do anything to stop the spread of COVID." That's emphatically wrong. Increased vaccination has irrefutably led to lower case counts. The higher the number of vaccinated, the lower the spread would have been without those vaccinations.

However, there's enough seemingly random or not understood factors for patterns of spread to prevent one from concluding that state A will spread higher or lower than state B because the vaccination rate is, say 10-15 percent higher. But that really shouldn't be surprising. Looking at it state by state or country by country, the pattern of spread (which locations got soaked) has always been difficult to predict. When you have vaccination rates that are less than required for heard immunity, any state that gets hit with a wave is going to have spread and could have major spread.

Expecting a 15 percent comparative reduction in spread because a state has a comparatively 15 percent higher vaccination rate is not a reasonable expectation. That is doesn't play out that way is not a basis to falsely claim that the vaccine hasn't prevented the spread of COVID.