This season is teetering on "train wreck" status once again. Looking at the final 19 games of the season---if they're all played----I'd expect ND to go 11-8.
Call it 1-1 against Northwestern
2-1 against Pitt
1-0 against Valpo
1-2 against NC State
1-0 against UIC
1-2 against Louisville
2-1 against Canisius
2-1 against BC
So, you'd think 13-6 is the best scenario (3-0 against Pitt and Canisius instead of 2-1) and 9-10 is the worst case scenario (1-2 against BC, and 0-3 against NC State). So, I'd say 24-29 (14-16) is most likely, 26-27 (15-15) is best case and 22-31 (12-18) is worst case.
The worst case is probably the only way I see Aoki not getting another year, and even that would require Swarbrick to reach down and find a pair. I think we all think that is unlikely.
And the lone win was against woebegone Chicago State, who led 3-0 early. My wild guess is a 7-12 finish, something like this:
0-2 vs. Northwestern
2-1 at Pitt
1-0 vs. Valpo
1-2 vs. NC State
0-1 vs. UIC
0-3 vs. UL
2-1 vs. Canisius (only because it's a weekend series)
1-2 at BC
That would put ND at 20-33 overall, 12-18 in the ACC. Probably 20-35 after the ACC tournament.
And Aoki would return for season 10.