sure - it's from SportSource Analytics
by MrE (2020-04-28 21:54:16)

In reply to: Can you clarify the context  posted by SixShutouts66

Post Reply Return to Cartier Field

They posted some data on the recruits that signed with FBS schools from 2010-2016.

- in that time period, a total pool of 11,376 signees were either 3, 4 or 5 star recruits, based on 247 Composite player rankings:

3 stars: 9,125 (80% of signed players)
4 stars: 2,036 (18% of signed players)
5 stars: 215 (2% of signed players)


- from that pool, the following were drafted (all 7 rounds):

3 stars: 657 (7% success rate), with an average draft round of 4.2
4 stars: 454 (22% success rate), with an average draft round of 3.8
5 stars: 135 (63% success rate), with an average draft round of 2.7

- so, yes, it is a different data point.

- irishrock's breakdown of 2020 1st & 2nd round draft selections tells the same story.

3 stars represent 34% of 1st round draft selections, but from 80% of the "market."
4 stars represent 47% of 1st round draft selections, from only 18% of the "market."
5 starts represent 19% of 1st round draft selections, from only 2% of the "market."

Water is wet.


Replies: