He won't even be in the top 10.
but they obviously have not watched him play football.
At this time last year for the 2022 draft
I will never understand why people consider these lists anything more than wild guesses, at best
Malik Willis the 5th best odds to be #1 OVR. He went late in the 3rd round (Thibidoux was #6 in odds behind Willis and was taken 4th). Again, this was 1 month after the combine and 1 month before the NFL draft.
Think about how accurate they are when talking 11 months in advance, when a QB hasn't even played their senior year. Jurkovec could easily go undrafted and never play in a real NFL game. That is probably the much better bet.
These betting odds reflect how stupid bettors are (and how smart Vegas is) as well as how desperate (and stupid) teams might be in the NFL as perceived by fans and Vegas.
to justify a top 5 pick. Absolutely not. I can't speak to other teams' calculus.
team, now in charge for the Giants (thank you Bills!), does not make the same kind of draft mistakes that prior management did for several years. This year's draft affirms that belief, particularly at the top/round one.