Here's how he calculates

Here's how he calculates
by irishmitten (2019-08-20 17:18:29)

In reply to: Phil Steele predicting a "Bear" market for Notre Dame. posted by G.K.Chesterton

Phil Steele's Stock Market Indicator is the average of the win totals from two and three seasons ago minus the win total of the previous season.

Notre Dame is 7 ('16 4-8, '17 10-3) minus 12 ('18 12-0) for an SMI of -5.0
This means he predicts the Irish will win 5 less games in 2019 for an overall record of 7-5.

Replies:

So he predicts Cincy will go from 11-2 to 4-9? * - Ty Webb 2019-08-21 09:04:21
There is some value to "historical norming" - KeoughCharles05 2019-08-20 21:44:36
- Lazy use of statistics if you ask me. And I'm a big Phil - Tonybullets 2019-08-20 23:46:35
- Or a major upgrade in coaching. - domer4 2019-08-20 22:12:57