Affect Conference yes, but NCAA, probably not in a bad way
by cbiebel (2022-01-24 19:25:30)

In reply to: That would seem obvious to me...  posted by Slotts


The NCAA seeding will probably be helped by ND/NC St over ND/UVa. It comes down to this: Which would be better for ND and the conference regarding the NCAAs? Four possibilities (in order of likelihood):

ND/UVA: ND wins. ND beat a team that is currently 3-13 and #135 in RPI. Helps ND a little bit in conference tournament seeding, but probably not significantly.

ND/NC St: NC St wins. Expected outcome based on rankings, so it doesn't hurt ND's appearance to the Committee. Plus, these types of losses tend to help RPI (strangely enough) and boost ND's SOS.

ND/NC St: ND wins. Actually the likely best situation for the ACC (boosts ND in appearance, probably wouldn't hurt NC St. too much).

ND/UVa: UVa wins (extremely unlikely, but ND does have some problems on the road sometimes). Awful situation, ND losing to a RPI #135 team.


So you have a choice between a game with a great potential upside for ND/ACC and minimal NCAA effect vs a game with a minimal upside and potential huge downside.