Yes, but then my 3 of 5 line doesn't work
by gregmorrissey (2024-01-25 07:57:31)

In reply to: didn't he lose Nevada as well? *  posted by jt


Yes, Biden won Nevada by 2.4% which is less than he won Michigan (3%). But, with only 6 votes, they aren't going to be the required key piece in very many combinations.

2020 % Margins (Vote Margins)
Georgia 0.20% (11,779) --- 16 EC votes
Arizona 0.30% (10,457) --- 11 EC votes
Wisconsin 0.70% (20,682) --- 10 EC votes
Pennsylvania 1.20% (81,660) --- 19 EC votes
Nevada 2.40% (33,596) --- 6 EC votes
Michigan 3.00% (154,188) --- 15 EC votes

As it stands today, Trump is at 235 and Biden is at 226 (270 needed to win). Trump won North Carolina by 1.4% (74,483 votes) so technically it's in play, but if Trump loses North Carolina then he will lose everywhere else that matters too. Likewise, if Biden loses in Minnesota.


Trump winning combinations - needs 35 votes
With PA
GA, PA = 35
PA and any other 2 >= 35

Without PA
GA, MI + Any
GA, AZ, WI
MI, AZ, WI




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