Mexico 17 pts (+8) - 3.5 games left (playing now)
Costa Rica 14 pts (+7) - 3 games
USA 8 pts (+1) - 3 games
Honduras 8 pts (-7) - 3 games
Panama 7 pts (-1) - 3.5 games left
Trinidad 3 pts (-8) - 3 games left

Barring a crazy goal differential swing and dropping every remaining point, Mexico is in. Trinidad is effectively done although I think they may mathematically be alive for 3rd or 4th.

The best that can be said after tonight is that we control our own destiny still.

If we continue to play like that, it's hard to see us finishing higher than 4th. Better figure things out quickly before Tuesday afternoon.

And certainly Trinidad and Tobago.

Panama? Maybe not. So pencil us in for six points, up to 14 total.

I'd guess Costa Rica gets 3-5 (Mexico, Honduras, @Panama), putting them at 17-19.

Honduras is likely to take 0 points over the remainder (US, @Costa Rica, Mexico are their final three), leaving them at 8. Maybe they'd sneak a draw in the finale against a qualified Mexico. So maybe 9.

I'd peg Panama at (Trinidad & Tobago, @USA, Costa Rica) 3-5, putting them at 10-12 points.

So long as we beat Honduras, we're in great shape for 3rd place. I don't think it'll take all that much to do.

Mexico 14 pts (+7) - 3.5 games left (playing now)
Costa Rica 14 pts (+7) - 3 games
USA 8 pts (+1) - 3 games
Honduras 8 pts (-7) - 3 games
Panama 7 pts (-8) - 3.5 games left
Trinidad 3 pts (-8) - 3 games left

We control our own destiny as all 3 of our remaining games are against the teams currently below us but that is a grim table.

We are at +1 in GD and right now at halftime Honduras is -6.

Trinidad is already down 2-0

Root for Trinidad to stop the bleeding and pull one back (or even get to two to tie).