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I think it has more to do with the delta between by SUJB9
where they would be picked this year with where they could end up with another in college. Even if a player is projected to be a an early-3rd round pick, there's a difference of life-changing money between early-3rd round and mid-1st round, and that' the kind of jump both players could make with another year (especially Tillery with his measurable).