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I agree with the text of your post, maybe not the subject by LuckyMcD
Minnesota won 23 games the three seasons before he arrived. They've won 22 games in his three seasons. He's a good fit at smaller schools they can buy into his underdog mentality. I don't think he would be a good fit at Notre Dame.
The Penn State win was big, but he's 2-10 in his career against ranked teams, and #24 Toledo was the other win. If you think it's asking too much for him to beat ranked teams at Western Michigan and Minnesota consider that he's 7-24 against teams that finish with less than six losses in his career, and one of those two wins this season depends on Georgia Southern winning a bowl game. Basically his entire resume is built on beating teams he should have beaten and then beating a team that struggled to beat Pitt and Indiana this year.