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Cincy or UCF would help as much as Navy did last year. by rockmcd

Navy was #21 when we played them last year and we beat the tar out of them. The CFP committee was so impressed by that statement win over a ranked team that they moved us from #16 to #16 (no that's not a typo), and the previously #12 Auburn remained ahead of us despite losing their 3rd game.

I'm struggling to paint a realistic scenario in which the difference between USF and UC/UCF would tip the scales in anyone's evaluation of whether ND deserves an invitation to a major bowl game or the CFP.

I think it's really this simple:
If ND wins the ACC title game (with 1 or fewer regular season losses), then they go to the CFP. If ND is the 2nd highest ranked ACC team then we go to the Orange Bowl.