This is not a vent board or any other kind of therapy. Before you hit the POST button, ask yourself if your contribution will add to the level of discussion going on.
Important notes on articles:
- Please do not copy entire articles into your post; rather, provide links to them.. We are now links-only for ALL Internet publications. If only a small portion of the article pertains to your post, Fair Use allows you to copy those one or two paragraphs, provided you cite the author's name and the publication for which he writes. Otherwise, put a link in the HTTP Link box.
- Even if you're copying a reference to an article, provide a link to the page from which the article came. We're trying to cut down on duplicate topics, and the posting process will check the link to your article to see if it's already being discussed on this board. At the very least, you'll save yourself some grief on the boards.
- If your first reaction after reading the article you're going to share is the author is uninformed / stupid / a jerk / all of the above, it's not worth sharing with anyone. Not every article needs to be discussed. The more the hair-pulling articles are discussed (e.g. ESPN Page 2), the more the authors will write hair-pulling articles.
Post being replied to
Marina's original instinct on the last second shot is right by cbiebel
When she said if she has the open 3, she'd take it.
Generally speaking, if you are down 2, you should almost always go for the 3 point shot.
Consider the general percentages: 3 point shot: 40%, 2 point shot 60% (being generous, assuming you get it in low to a post player). The chance the shot goes in is greater for the 2 point shot, but that get it into OT, not winning the game. Then the game becomes another 50% chance.
So basically:
3 point shot: 40% chance of winning
2 point shot: 60% chance of a 50% chance of winning (IOW, 30% chance of winning).
So the 3 point shot is 40% while the 2 point shot is 30%.