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As Leipzig proved last year by KnightlyRevue
It really depends which Atleti Cholo brings. In big moments (see this weekend), Simeone can get ultra conservative and cripple Atleti's ability to create chances. The best thing for Atleti would probably be to lose the first stage 1-0 similar to what they did with Liverpool last year. Atleti is best when they are the wounded animal.
Chelsea can definitely win this but I hope Atleti realizes the opportunity and Felix/Llorente are allowed to play free flanked by a combo of Vitolo/Carrasco/Correa. They have veteran players at the back/midfield that can cause Chelsea's young forwards problems but they can't just pinch the field like normal. It doesn't have to be a shootout but it can't be a park the bus sort of game across two legs.