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I think that those numbers are a bit misleading. by NDMike2001

This is obviously a big generalization, but there are two very different kinds of players in the portal.

1. Players that have failed to get the kind of playing time at their current school who will likely have to move laterally or down to do so.

2. Players that have found success at their current school and are looking for a bigger challenge.

Most kids probably already know they fall into one category or another.

Also, considering that there are some 1500+ kids transferred in the portal, that still means there's nearly 200 D1 kids that moved into better programs.