If this becomes a two person race
by sprack (2024-01-10 17:37:57)
Edited on 2024-01-10 17:43:58

In reply to: Almost certain to help Haley....  posted by Marine Domer


All bets are off. Trump doesn't hit 50% in GOP polls in most places, and outside of MAGA his support is tepid. He won in 2016 because of winner-take-all primaries, and MAGA is enough to get him there with split opposition but not if it's one-to-one.

I also don't think Christie dropping out helps DeSantis at all.



Trump is hitting greater than 50% nationally and in
by AquinasDomer  (2024-01-10 19:54:08)     cannot delete  |  Edit  |  Return to Board  |  Ignore Poster   |   Highlight Poster  |   Cannot reply

Many state polls. Desantis voters also prefer Trump to Haley.

538 poll of polls has Trump at 61.3% nationally. Haley is at 11% and Christie between 3 and 4%.


After reading takes on tonight’s debate
by sprack  (2024-01-10 21:49:05)     cannot delete  |  Edit  |  Return to Board  |  Ignore Poster   |   Highlight Poster  |   Cannot reply

Which I am not watching - I’d rather stick needles in my eyes - I retract thinking there is any possibility of Haley beating Trump.

Why? Because she and DeSantis are going after each other and not Trump. You know, the front-runner. Dumbest strategy ever.

I think they’re both running for Vice President. In fact I’ve thought Haley was doing that from day 1.


It's been a one person race so far
by ravenium  (2024-01-10 19:30:00)     cannot delete  |  Edit  |  Return to Board  |  Ignore Poster   |   Highlight Poster  |   Cannot reply

Trump is leading most polls by 40%. I wish I saw something else.