Honest question not trying to be an asshole Assume they
by wpkirish (2024-01-17 00:00:15)

In reply to: That could work. Dimon has enough of a name brand.  posted by EricCartman


run as a ticket. What states do they take from Trump and what states do they take from Biden that allows them to gwt to 269 Electoral College votes because if they dont they arent winning. People on the internet can have their dream ticket but need to deal in the reality of 538 electoral college votes.

Can they take enough votes to win every state Biden won? Can they take enough votes to win any states Trump won? How do they do better than Perot did in 92?

Keep in mind while a lot of people talk about being "independent" the data will tell you they actually strongly prefer one party but say they are independent. And of course people want to support winners.

No Labels talks about running a ticket that enjoys majority support but they wont get that. Chrsitie is a perfect example. He dropped out of the Republican primary without hitting double digits in support. For obvious reasons (including his history on abortion) he is unlikely to attract significant support among Dems. People here advocate him joining no labels but he wont attract a majority of support.

The bigger problem is the candidate would need to attract Democratic Support in states Biden won and Republican support in States Trump won. I am not even certain what issues you would campaign on that would allow one to do that. 2020 was obvuously a year where a number of traditional Republican voters crossed over and voted for Biden so obviously a third party candidacy is going to take from him how many would not for Trump? Keep in mind the polling from Iowa whichshows about less than half of the Haley voters would vote fro Biden over Trump while another 6% of her voters would vote for RFK Jr. Overall 11% of the Republicans said they would vote for Biden and 71% said they would vote for Trump.

The Hard reality is there is not enough votes for a third party candidate to win and at best they would throw the election to the house. .