(Thanks to Farley for Compiling) – Based on a survey of over 8,000 fanatic crazies, the percentage following the team name is the average confidence level for each game.

WSU – 95.0%
Washington – 94.8%
Navy – 94.3%
UConn – 89.9%
Purdue – 89.8%
Nevada – 87.7%
Stanford – 78.8%
Michigan – 75.6%
BC – 74.5%
Pitt – 72.0%
MSU – 65.1%
USC – 41.0%

The expected wins is the sum of the percentages over the season. Drum roll…

Expected wins – 9.585

Probability of:

12 wins – 5.13%
11 wins – 19.7%
10 wins – 30.3%

Which gives a probability of a 10+ win season of 55.1%.

It should be noted that Notre Dame Fan estimates were winning 8 games in 2008 and 7 games in 2007. We won 6 and 3 in those years.