Couldn't it explain NY/NJ as well?
by Tex Francisco (2020-08-07 11:41:39)

In reply to: It might partially explain what's happened in Sweden  posted by combodraw

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Given the lack of testing in March/April and some of the subsequent antibody studies, it seems like the virus reached a far greater percentage of the population than testing alone would lead you to believe. If a large percentage of the population has already had the virus and a large percentage of the remaining population has some natural immunity, then that area of the country may have something starting to resemble herd immunity, such that they're unlikely to get a repeat of the March/April spike.

One difference is that NYC
by combodraw  (2020-08-07 11:44:17)     cannot delete  |  Edit  |  Return to Board  |  Ignore Poster   |   Highlight Poster  |   Reply to Post

locked down pretty hard when the virus peaked. We don't know if their drop in cases is due to the lockdown, or because some type of herd immunity factor took place, or a combo of both.

Sweden is a different situation (and stronger case for a herd immunity type affect) because they hit a sharp peak and declined without any change in behavior that I can pin point.
See my post and NDHs.
by ewillND  (2020-08-07 15:42:52)     cannot delete  |  Edit  |  Return to Board  |  Ignore Poster   |   Highlight Poster  |   Reply to Post

There was a very obvious change in behavior.