In reply to: Texas is up to 13 Confirmed + Football Players. posted by TWO
The probability is probably higher that they get attacked by a hot dog machine than die or are seriously ill from COVID-19.
If you don't believe they will, then you don't understand the disease.
than those who say young people are all good if they catch it.
Most data I've seen for healthy 18-22 year olds suggest an IFR is less than 0.01%. With about 100 D1 teams and about 100 players per teams that is less than one player per season. Maybe a few is close enough to likely less than one.
By far the bigger problem is the old coaches and other staff, whose risk is 100x or more larger. You could work on protecting them, or you not play until there is a vaccine.
It's ok as long as you're entertained?
Not inconceivable of course that there could be player deaths from Covid.
If there is a full season I would also guess that more D-1 football players will die from something else this year than Covid. Other disease, car accident, violence, etc.
I don’t agree with what Cuomo said—-that 1 death is too many.
If I did, I would say close down everything until there is a vaccine. Shut down every restaurant, beach, public gathering, storefront. Pickup rations curbside at food distribution centers. See everyone in Summer 2021, hopefully.
Lots of fat guys in their 60s working these games. Patrick Mahomes might be fine, but Andy Reid should probably worry
Even the NBA's "bubble" won't be testing ancillary service oriented Disney staff who will be coming and going on their campus. Life does not happen in a vacuum and there's now way to get it even close to that in the NFL.
If 500-1000 of them get the virus, there's a pretty good chance that at least a few are going to have complications.
The odds of a complication are roughly similar to the odds of complications from things like car accidents and other accidents/incidents. My view is the question will be the media coverage. If a COVID hospitalization or even death (latter unlikely with 1k cases among healthy 20 year olds) gets major media coverage much more than an average D1 player being hospitalized or worse for other things, then there will be problems.
I also keep looking at these positive test numbers as indicative that coronavirus is not unheard of among 20 year olds in their regular life, since at least some of these cases were present before they ever got to campus.
Tells me it is way more prevalent and that young people general fight it off pretty easy compared to over 65 year olds.
so said Mike Tyson. I'd imagine everything will be fine until the first reported hospitalization. If it's a "name" player on a "name" program, grab your butts.
“Unless players are essentially in a bubble – insulated from the community and they are tested nearly every day – it would be very hard to see how football is able to be played this fall”
form living and doing what college kids do while at college?
And if don’t have them in bubble but testing regularly, what is he saying?
That entire teams will get sick and players will die? More risk than playing and dying of football injuries now from heat or playing injury (or later in life?)
K-12 in-person classes. You still in Arizona?
being protective for the wearer, later changed his recommendation, and admitted he lied?
Please provide evidence for that.
Fauci coming out a few weeks ago and saying one reason they downplayed the role of masks early was because they were afraid there would be a run on N95 masks and other PPE that hospitals would critically need when the virus was first ramping up.
Fauci has become an easy target for the Trump supporters like NDTwice.