In reply to: But the risk of injury between contract 1 and contract posted by SUJB9
the potential reward of a bigger contract. There really isn't a likely upside to the second contract in terms of numbers other than getting to it a year faster. As mentioned below, the extra year is made up for with the difference between a 3rd round and 1st round contract (all assumptions, obviously, but you have to go with the info you have at the time of the decision).