I think you have it right

My bet is that this will the highest year for transfers that we will see for the next 5-10 years because of the newness of it. I believe we will come to an equilibrium where players realize the grass isn't always greener, and coaches realize that finding the right fit in transfers who can play right away isn't easy in terms of team chemistry.

As we have seen with the one-and-dones on the men's side, you can catch lightning in a bottle with a group of new players but it can also really go sideways. Most coaches don't want to operate with such instability. The ones who think creatively will thrive.