Irish Invade SEC Country

Notre Dame (1-2) goes on the road this weekend to play the Arkansas Razorbacks (2-2). This is the first ever visit to Fayetteville for the Fighting Irish, who will host the Hogs in 2028. Both teams feature a balanced and potent offense with impressive statistics to show for it. Defensive breakdowns have been the overriding story in each of their four combined losses. Saturday’s game will be nationally televised on ABC beginning at 12:00 Noon Eastern time.

Coaches from both teams have come under fire due to a failure to meet expectations. At Notre Dame, Defensive Coordinator Chris Ash has been the target of considerable heat. His unit allowed game-winning drives in the first two games and struggled in the opening half last week.

Several beat reporters attributed a stronger second half performance against Purdue to an intervention by Head Coach Marcus Freeman. Truthfully, there is no single reason for the Irish defensive woes. Schematic issues, injuries, freshmen learning on the job, and poor tackling have all played a part. Failure to pressure the quarterback is probably at the top of this list.

In Fayetteville, it is no secret that Head Coach Sam Pittman’s seat is extremely warm. Now in his sixth season, Pittman has lost ten of his last 12 one-score games and the natives are getting restless. The manner in which they have lost is also problematic. Fundamental breakdowns and numerous self-inflicted wounds are not the hallmark of a well-coached team.

Rumors are circulating that Offensive Coordinator Bobby Petrino has privately lobbied boosters for Pittman’s job if he is fired. Petrino previously held the top job at Arkansas from 2008-11. He was fired in April 2012 for having an inappropriate relationship with a young female colleague. This week, Petrino may be auditioning for his old job.

None of the foregoing should alter either team’s strategy for Saturday’s contest, although Pittman desperately needs a noteworthy victory. Hosting Notre Dame presents him with a perfect opportunity to circle the wagons and fire up his team.

On the injury front, Irish kicker Noah Burnette appears ready to return to action. Cornerback Leonard Moore and nickel back DeVonta Smith remain questionable and may be game time decisions. We have learned that guard Charles Jagusah suffered a setback in his recovery from a broken humerus. He may miss the entire regular season. Arkansas has reported no significant injuries among its starters or major contributors.  

NOTRE DAME’S OFFENSE vs. ARKANSAS’ DEFENSE

Offensive Coordinator Mike Denbrock unleashed the running game last week and is almost certain to repeat that plan. Arkansas has been vulnerable the run against even mediocre teams. If they load up to slow down Jeremiyah Love and Jadarian Price, the play-action pass is available. CJ Carr hit a couple of bombs last week and would love to have similar opportunities on Saturday. It is also vital that Notre Dame dominates time of possession to keep the ball away from the Hogs.

CJ Carr in action against Purdue (Photo by Joseph Weiser/Icon Sportswire)

Love and Price accounted for over 200 yards rushing last week and should achieve that number again. Irish wide receivers have done a better job of downfield blocking recently. Such efforts can turn a five-yard run into a big chunk play. The Arkansas front four has not played particularly well with the exception of sack leader Quincy Rhodes. Notre Dame should win the line of scrimmage more often than not in this matchup.

Linebackers Xavian Sorey and Stephen Dix lead the team in tackles. They can be exceptional playmakers but often find themselves in the wrong place at the wrong time. Cornerbacks Julian Neal and Kani Walker lead a veteran five-man secondary. Both are 6’2”. Missed tackles and blown assignments have been an issue throughout this quintet.

Irish tight end Ty Washington will return to his prior home field this week. We can expect Denbrock to find a way to give him an opportunity to catch the ball. This could happen in the red zone when Notre Dame shows a running formation with two tight ends. Otherwise, Carr should spread the ball around to keep the Hogs guessing throughout the day.

ARKANSAS’ OFFENSE vs. NOTRE DAME’S DEFENSE

The Irish have played against some potent offenses this season but Arkansas may be the scariest. Quarterback Taylen Green has a 65% completion rate and is the team’s leading rusher. He stands at 6’6” and weighs 235 pounds. Arkansas’ most impressive statistic regarding this offense is the number of explosive plays. They lead the nation in this category. Green averages a phenomenal 15 yards per completion. The Hogs produce 6.6 rush yards per carry in racking up 552 total yards per game. Green personally accounts for 300 yards passing and 90 yards rushing.

Taylen Green is a true dual threat QB (Photo by Andy Altenburger/Icon Sportswire)

Despite a number of untimely errors including penalties and turnovers, the Hogs have scored 44 points per contest. Their offensive line has improved since enduring a disastrous 2024. Currently, they have allowed only three sacks. Tackle Corey Robinson and guard Fernando Carmona anchor a strong left side, while the right and center are more vulnerable.

Green has enjoyed time to throw and room to scramble. Unless the Irish front can produce havoc plays, the Hogs will score their share of points. Arkansas has earned 16 touchdowns in 17 red zone opportunities. They fumbled the ball away late to lose 32-31 against Memphis in their only unsuccessful trip.

Tailbacks Mike Washington and Braylen Russell form a lightning and thunder combination for the Hogs. Washington is a capable receiver as well. Wideout O’Mega Blake is the team’s leading receiver by a wide margin. There is plenty of talent behind him, however, providing Green with multiple targets. Jalen Brown, CJ Brown, Raylen Sharpe, and tight end Jaden Platt have each contributed multiple big plays.

SPECIAL TEAMS

Burnette’s return means that freshman Erik Schmidt will not be forced to do the place kicking. He was adequate last week but I would be concerned if the Irish needed a field goal from Schmidt to win. Hopefully, Burnette is able to kick without restrictions. Punter James Rendell can help the team most this week by not breaking a sweat. In the return game, Price’s 100-yard return last week effectively ended all hope for Purdue. Notre Dame could use another impact play on Saturday to tip the scales of this shootout in their favor.

Hogs kicker Scott Starzyk has made two of four field goals this year. All have come from 40+ yards since Arkansas almost always scores a touchdown in the red zone. His longest success is from 53 yards. Senior punter Devin Bale has a powerful leg and a 48-yard average. Like Rendell, he has been lightly used this season to date. Arkansas has had very few kickoff or punt returns to date with unremarkable results. Their kickoff coverage appears to be a weak spot.

SUMMARY

Notre Dame must score touchdowns at every opportunity. Field goals will prove to be inadequate. The winning team will have the most explosive plays and the fewest drive-killing mistakes. Special teams also heavily favor Notre Dame and the Irish must dominate this phase of the action. Defensively, keeping Green in the pocket and pressuring him there is the primary objective. He is certain to make few spectacular plays but the Irish must limit the damage.

Will CB Leonard Moore line up on defense? (Photo by Joe Robbins/Icon Sportswire)

Turnovers and field position are critical factors in this contest. Both offenses will have success, so the team whose mistakes derail its own drives will fall behind. Although the Irish had a strong defensive second half against Purdue, the Hogs’ offense is far superior. Notre Dame and Ash are still a long way from getting themselves out of the woods. The Irish pass rushers must win a few more one-on-one battles than in previous weeks.

Here are a few questions that will shed light on the outcome:

  • Will Notre Dame keep Green well below his season run and pass averages?
  • Can the Irish stop Arkansas in the red zone?
  • Which team will run the ball and control the clock?
  • Will the Irish special teams make a positive difference?
  • Can Notre Dame’s secondary refuse to surrender explosive plays?
  • Will Carr maintain his poise and avoid the big interception?
  • Can Notre Dame dominate the middle eight minutes of the game?
  • Will the Irish win the battles in the trenches?

PREDICTION

Notre Dame will score its share of points but the path to victory is attacking and beating the Hogs offensive line. Success in this endeavor will serve to keep Green somewhat contained. Arkansas and Petrino will not be silenced, though. The Irish defense must achieve a combination of turnovers and red zone stops to avoid another loss. Moore and Smith will certainly help the visitors if they can play. If not, the game could become a shootout where the team who has the final possession prevails.

In the end, the Irish running game and Arkansas’ penchant for critical mistakes in close games will be decisive.

NOTRE DAME 48  ARKANSAS 38

Tell John what you think in the Comments section below.

14 thoughts on “Irish Invade SEC Country

  1. Thank you John for the preview.

    Arkansas had a they score-we score shootout at Ol’ Miss, and and lost by 6. Looked like both teams tightened up their defenses in the 2nd half.

    I think ND’s moribund pass rush can be used as stay-in-your-rush lane and collapse pocket ‘plan’, thus keeping Green from big gain scrambles. If Arkansas can make defensive adjustments and we can’t, things could get ugly for the Irish. Your take on time of possession is a good one- if ND can win that, it’s huge in a game like this.

    Arkansas 38. Irish 28 because Arkansas makes more, and better, defensive adjustments.

  2. I think our defense is in turmoil. Carr & the offense will shine, but I see our sieve defense losing another high-scoring close game. Arkansas may be struggling too, but they are used to playing tough teams and they will be motivated to the max to beat ND. The stadium will be a hellhole for our guys.
    Sadly I say Arkansas 45, Notre Dame 41 in another ugly game. Please prove me wrong, Irish!

  3. The wailing and gnashing of teeth about both teams’ records obscures how good and important this game could be. It may be a spectator’s dream for both sides. Irish will win, but it’ll be seriously earned.

  4. William F Murphy says:

    I am not one to gamble on football, but the line has been an unchanged 12 1/2 all week, not 10 1/2 or 13 1/2. As an aside, USC is only a slight favorite against Illinois. Go figure! Great to hope for the quick start as we did against Purdue, but they’ll be looking for that. And Green is a monster of a figure at QB. As inconsistent as our D has been, it has been even worse for them. May be one of those games where Tony Roberts way back in the ND radio broadcast days would advise his listeners to get “those beads” out. And my dad would do just that.

  5. This game is huge and will define this team as either the Fighting Irish or the Flailing Irish. Love & Price put the Fight back into team. 🍀🍀

  6. Going on 4 decades now: high expectations, and disappointing performance, for the most part. Blame this. Blame that. Blame whatever. It numbs the emotions and takes away from the great traditions. We’re getting close to the “Lore of Notre Dame.” And nothing else.

  7. ED CHRISTOPHER ND '67 says:

    John, as to USC, back in the day ND had a converted QB from Phillie named Allan Sack who played DE and saw
    quite a bit of playing time. For the USC game the boys from St. Ed’s Hall hung a banner on the Dome that boldly read: “SACK THE TROJANS”. Thereafter we won the game.

    This game, too, will depend on the D controlling the 6’6″ 235lb. QB. We will also learn who MF is.

    IRISH PREVAIL
    ND 42 ARKANSAS 31

  8. In this case, ND’s offense is the best defense. It’s sad to say that it has come to this. Who has any confidence in Ash at this point? Whatever ND does tomorrow, they need to keep the defense off the field as much as possible. Own the time of possession and run the football all day long, and no turnovers. If they can grind out long sustained drives, then they have a good chance. A high scoring affair does not favor ND. Playing Big 12 football isn’t the answer.

  9. ❤️#501988☘️🏈💪🏻 says:

    GREAT article as usual JV! Indepth analysis and to the detail from you leaved no doubt about the GOOD, BAD and the UGLY for the ☘️.

    I just Pray that this week the ☘️ defense can make improvements and show up. Again, I’m 🙏🏻ING!!!!!

  10. This is not unfortunately a well disciplined well coached defense with little or no pressure on the QB. How has this happened in a year? Until that gets fixed Irish struggles continue. Hogs win the Holtz Bowl 45-40.