Notre Dame (5-1) is spending the second of two consecutive weekends on the road as the Fighting Irish visit the unbeaten Louisville Cardinals of the Atlantic Coast Conference on Saturday. The hosts are off to a 5-0 start for the first time since 2013. This will be the seventh game of the season for the Fighting Irish, and six of them will have been played against teams that were undefeated at the time. Also, for the third consecutive week, the game will be played at night. The ABC network will televise this contest beginning at 7:30 PM Eastern time.
Head Coach Jeff Brohm in his first season at his alma mater after resurrecting Purdue to Big-10 respectability from 2017-2022. Brohm inherited a squad that was 8-5 last year and 25-24 under Scott Satterfield over the past four seasons. Quarterback Malik Cunningham led the Cardinals during that time but has moved on to New England in the NFL.
In need of a replacement, Brohm brought in perennial free agent Jack Plummer to run his offense this year. Plummer competed against Notre Dame for different teams in each of the past two seasons. He led Purdue under Brohm in 2021 and Cal Berkeley last year. Plummer was a combined 41 of 73 in passing for 371 yards and two touchdowns. The Irish won both games.
Notre Dame Coach Marcus Freeman is well aware of the toll that night games, particularly on the road, can take on his student athletes. In his remarks earlier this week, Freeman had this to say about preparation for Louisville:
“I adjust each week based off the (player) loads that I get back from the game, based off what the previous week looked like and based off the demands they have this week,” he explained. “We moved some of the lifts around. Hey, what time are they getting up? It’s specific for actually individuals more than it is a team. Like, what does this individual need to make sure on Saturday he’s ready to reach his full potential. So, we’ve made some tweaks to take into account the night game, take into account the late arrival (home) with Tuesday and Wednesday’s practice just how we’ve adjusted a little bit.”
On the injury front, the Irish will regain the services of wide receivers Jayden Thomas and Jaden Greathouse, whose absence was felt against Duke. Tight end Eli Raridon is ready to resume his career after suffering two ACL tears in his right knee, the second of which occurred one year ago. Defensive End Jordan Botelho was ejected from last week’s game with Duke and must sit out first half at Louisville.
The Cardinals have just one reported injury. Starting safety Josh Minkins is listed as questionable but the nature of his ailment is undisclosed.
NOTRE DAME’S OFFENSE vs. LOUISVILLE’S DEFENSE
Louisville’s defensive line is formidable and stocked with veterans. End Ashton Gillotte is the best pass rusher and overall playmaker. He has five sacks this year. Stephen Herron or backup Popeye Williams line up on the opposite side, while the interior players elevate this front four to well above average. The rotation at tackle consists of starters Dezmond Tell and Ramon Puryear, with 300-pounders Jermayne Lole and Tawfiq Thomas in reserve. This group will test Notre Dame’s offensive line, who struggled last week against a surprisingly good Duke unit.
Linebacker has been an issue for Brohm as last year’s starters elected to transfer following the coaching change. Thus far this season, the Cardinals have settled on TJ Quinn, now the team’s leading tackler, and Jaylin Alderman. Both saw limited action last year. They have played well thus far, due in no small part to the solid group of linemen in front of them. Notre Dame did not utilize its running backs very much in the passing game last week but need to get the ball to these talented players in space on Saturday to test Quinn and Alderman.
Notre Dame welcomes back three excellent pass receivers this week in Thomas, Greathouse and Raridon. Last week’s game plan was limited by their absence which played into the hands of Mike Elko’s defense. Quarterback Sam Hartman will have more options this week as the Irish should be able to discourage Louisville from loading up against the run.
When Hartman drops back to pass, the five-man secondary of the Cardinals will feature several new starters. Cornerback Storm Duck and safety Cam’Ron Kelly transferred in this spring after four seasons at North Carolina. Jarvis Brownlee and Quincy Riley were backup corners last year who now see regular action, while Benjamin Perry continues to hold down a hybrid position. The injury-plagued Minkins may be their best pass defender and tackler when healthy. He will be missed if he’s unavailable.
LOUISVILLE’S OFFENSE vs. NOTRE DAME’S DEFENSE
Under Brohm, Louisville has averaged 37 points and just under 500 yards per game in total offense. Plummer has been a 65% passer although he has thrown six interceptions to date. The Cardinals had averaged 237 yards rushing before NC State held them to a net 20 yards on 29 carries. Although the Wolfpack defense succeeded in making the Cardinals one-dimensional, untimely turnovers by the offense in Louisville territory sealed their doom.
Plummer is a capable passer and runner but previous outings against Notre Dame have shown that he struggles under sustained pressure. NC State sacked him four times last week and the Irish got him six times in 2022. Plummer is wearing a different uniform now but Freeman’s plan again this year will be to stop the run and make Plummer uncomfortable in the pocket.
The Cardinals counter with an experienced offensive line led by center Bryan Hudson and right tackle Renato Brown. Running back Jawhar Jordan has gained over 500 yards behind this group. At wide receiver, Jamari Thrash is the big play target and chief threat. He should draw considerable interest from Ben Morrison of Notre Dame. The other notable Louisville receivers are Ahmari Huggins-Bruce, Chris Bell, and Joe Coleman. Tight end Josh Lifson has only three receptions and is rarely targeted. Jordan is a capable receiver out of the backfield, so the Irish will have to account for him. This may be easier said than done, especially given the poor tackling by Notre Dame this season.
Plummer is a good enough passer to take advantage downfield if the Irish are unable to apply pressure. Like Hartman, he is unafraid to run if the play breaks down. The sacks and interceptions he suffered are a concern for Louisville, though. We may see him roll out more than usual, especially on third down. Brohm also has a reputation for coming up with creative (trick) plays in big games. Successful gimmickry will keep both the Louisville players and their home crowd engaged but failure is usually deflating.
SPECIAL TEAMS
Notre Dame fans are rightfully concerned as to why special teams have deteriorated from a group of passionate difference makers in 2022 to a liability in 2023. The key specialists, punter Bryce McFerson and kicker Spencer Shrader are new this season, as is Coach Marty Biagi. Still, the cover and return units should not be giving up more yards and field position than they acquire. Perhaps this will be addressed and fixed during the bye week; perhaps not.
Veteran Louisville kicker Brock Travelstead provided the winning points last week in the low-scoring win over NC State. He possesses a strong leg and is more consistent than his Irish counterpart. Travelstead also doubles as the team’s punter, where he is far less effective.
Both Louisville return men are above average. Kevin Coleman handles punts and will take 5-10 extra yards rather than settle for a fair catch. Jawhar Jordan has brought back only two kickoffs but picked up 63 yards in the process. Notre Dame averages only 20 yards per kickoff return and three yards on punts.
SUMMARY
Notre Dame’s defensive plan is straightforward. Stop the run, pressure Plummer and lock down Thrash with Morrison. The Cardinals do not have a wealth of offensive game-breakers, so this is normally not too much to ask. The issue is this group of Irish defenders has played a ton of snaps over the past two weeks with minimal substitutions. Fatigue usually manifests itself in poor tackling and lazy pursuit angles. The staff was reluctant to rotate second teamers into the games over the last two weeks but may not have a choice this time.
On offense, Notre Dame’s offensive line must win against a foursome that dominated NC State last week. Hartman will need time to throw accurate passes while not having to run for his life. The ground game led by Audric Estime cannot wait until the final minute of play to break off a decent run. The Irish coaching staff must adjust sooner and more decisively if Louisville clogs the gaps with extra personnel. If Louisville’s front can defeat the Irish line at the point of attack to stop the run without bringing help from the back seven, Notre Dame will be in serious trouble.
The teams have one common opponent this season as both have played at North Carolina State. As noted, the Cardinals won a defensive struggle by 13-10 while Notre Dame’s fourth quarter explosion carried the Irish to a 45-24 victory.
My greatest concern is the physical and mental fatigue Notre Dame will encounter with another road trip in its seventh straight week of football. The Cardinals have enough talent to score an upset if the Irish play poorly, so the depth and leadership of the squad will be tested.
Here are a few questions that will shed light on the outcome:
- Which defensive line will be able to stuff the run?
- Can Notre Dame’s overworked defense muster sufficient energy and aggressiveness?
- Will Brohm find a way to catch Notre Dame off balance with a trick play?
- Can Thomas, Greathouse and Raridon rejuvenate the Irish passing game?
- Will the Irish offensive line put last week’s mediocrity behind it?
- Can Notre Dame’s moribund special teams contribute in a positive way?
- Who will prevail in the battle between Thrash and Morrison?
- Who concocted this ridiculous Irish schedule?
PREDICTION
Louisville has arguably the weakest offense of the four consecutive undefeated opponents the Irish will face during the current stretch. That said, this game may be the most difficult for Freeman and Notre Dame to conjure the motivation it will take to subdue the Cards in their own crib. Once again, the Irish are the better team on paper but college football is rarely that predictable. Louisville’s front four will bedevil the Irish attack if the offensive line is not at or near peak performance. Offensive Coordinator Gerad Parker has more weapons at his disposal this week but needs to call a better game than he did a week ago.
The ideal outcome is that Notre Dame puts the game away in the third quarter. Several key defenders could use the rest with an intense rivalry game coming up next week. Although a nail-biter on Saturday may be entertaining for casual fans, the last thing the Irish need is another forced march of 95 yards to pull out a last-minute victory. This matchup should not require that level of drama but the margin of victory won’t be as large as the Irish faithful would prefer.
NOTRE DAME 28 LOUISVILLE 20
Tell John what you think in the Comments section below
Will says:
I am 74 years old and have followed ND closely since 1964 mainly because my NY father was a subway alumnus. I entered ND in ’67 against my mother’s wishes. 1964 was the start of the third golden age (first was Harper/Rockne and second was Leahy) of ND football that lasted until 1996 through the tenures of Ara, Devine, and Holtz (Faust was an outlier in that time period). The key to that period was the presence of three exceptional athletic directors: Moose, Corrigan, and Rosenthal. Then in 95 Wadsworth was hired as AD, Lou left shortly thereafter after being treated shabbily, and everything went to shit. Wadsworth was followed by two more incompetents: White and Swarbrick. The result has been 30 years of maddening mediocrity. After 11 years of arrogantly disdaining most ND traditions and values, Kelly bolted abruptly to Baton Rouge. Good riddance! Enter Freeman, a lazy choice by Swarbrick who by that time had one foot out the door. There has been much to like, however, about Freeman. He is young, energetic, charismatic, and embraces ND traditions and values. Best of all he is a tireless, enthusiastic recruiter. Those of us who love ND desperately want him to succeed. His first 3 games were an unmitigated disaster. In my opinion, it was sometime in the middle of last year’s dysfunctional Cal game (his first victory), that Freeman realized that he had been dealt a very bad hand by having had Rees thrust upon him by Swarbrick. At that point Freeman became a real Head Coach and not just a delegating figurehead CEO. The results have been encouraging: a resultant record of 14 and 3. After Rees bolted, I think Freeman looked around at what teams were playing the kind of power offense with a vertical passing attack that he wanted. He identified Utah and tried to hire their Offensive Coordinator, but this publicly blew up in his face for “behind the scenes” reasons that have never been fully explained. So…here we are. I felt that this season hinged on the Duke game because of the “10 man” coaching fiasco of the OSU game. Lose to Duke and Freeman would be in a deep deep hole. Well…he pulled out a victory and now we can all breathe a little easier. I come to this site every week because John Vannie is the only online ND analyst you can trust since all the others are trying to sell you a service. He objectively explains ND’s weaknesses as well as its strengths. Let’s hope John is right and that the Irish survive another tough away night game against a revved up crowd in Louisville. Say your prayers.
James Kress says:
Nice summary. I agree.
#❤️🍀50 says:
Amen
a68domer says:
Bring on the Trojans…
ND ‘68
Richard J Derr says:
Why didn’t your mom want you to go to Notre Dame? I don’t think I ever heard that comment…RJD
Will says:
She wanted me to go Ivy League.
Mike says:
74 is the new 73. Enjoy!
Christoph says:
Loved your reply. Though I only started to appreciate ND FB in the mid 1980s (My father is class of 1973), I understand & agree with your feelings regarding on how the program has been incompetently handled by the ‘powers that be’ even before Holtz retired in 1996.
And I am also rooting for Freeman to succeed. We all knew that there would be growing pains w/ a first time HC. But unlike Davie or Weis, Freeman seems to want to learn from his mistakes. Hopefully the W vs Duke helped ND regarding the OSU loss & ND kicks in Louisville’s teeth tomorrow evening!
Boomer80 says:
Hey, that was really a nice perspective, Will, I utterly enjoyed the read! Thanks!
VAirish84 says:
This is the third week time playing either a 4-2-5 or a 3-3-5 base defense. We should have some familiarity with how to pass. The problem we have in the two prior is that our WRs can not get open in any meaningful way against it. Hopefully, Thomas and Greathouse are back and near 100%. Otherwise, the only WR they have confidence in is Flores. I think Tyree has earned it, but for some reason they don’t seem to trust him as much. Merriweather has not earned it. If the WRs are not a factor, it is a chance for a big day for Evans and Staes; however, that likely means a bad day for the running game. I don’t think Raridon is a real factor, maybe he gets a target. There is a reason those two came up big in the 3-3-5 games. The OL can create holes as long as there are not 7 in the box. They did against OSU.
The offense we used against NCST must show up again. If it does, we are fine.
Jake in Cali says:
JVAN,
I totally agree that the Irish are more talented on paper than the Cards..
But I think that Jeff Brohm will find a way to use his speed on offense to level the playing field. We have to tackle in space or it could be a long night for the D.
Broom did a great job at Purdue and I believe he knocked off thee highly ranked opponents -including Ohio St who was number 2 at the time several years ago.. He really is a great coach and they will be ready.
ND OL needs to take control early and keep the Irish on the field and consume the clock. AND YES, Parker needs to bring his A game.
I think it’s a four quarter battle.
But I think the Irish survive for a second week in a row on the road…
ND 31
LOUISVILLE 29
irishhawk50 says:
Hopefully the refs will not cost the Irish the game as they almost did last week. It appears it turns out that both Freeman and Golden knew of the rule that the punt was not reviewable but the refs refused to check the rule book. I think at that point ND should have filed a formal protest.
Anyway, I hope all these night games don’t come back to haunt the Irish, but the greed factor is at play here. The networks want the high profile games in primetime and ND has caved. I know they have no control over away games but I seem to remember a few years back the Irish contract with NBC only allowed one night game per season, I think.
Irish Coffee says:
I like the questions/keys to success. One more item I would add to this is eliminating the number of senseless penalties we saw last week. ND cannot afford to give the Cards second chances by lining up offsides or moving backwards on offense from false starts. The game will be challenging enough, and it could mean the difference between winning and losing. ND almost always seems to bring out the best in every team they play, so let’s not help or encourage them with these stupid penalties.
I hope our coaches can adjust and learn quickly this game. They will need to. The team has to play a much better second half this time. Finish strong! Go Irish!
John Vannie says:
Good point. Fatigue also leads to mental errors, often resulting in penalties.
Irishwolf says:
Thank you John for a great summary.
The Irish need to eliminate the offensive off-sides penalties. Those are drive killers. I also think they need to look hard at their tendencies on offense- it seems like they are predictable, and good defensive coaches will know what to call and what to key on.
That all said, I think the Irish will adjust, and prevail 31-20.
John Vannie says:
Self-scouting to identify tendencies is definitely necessary. The problem is the team hasn’t had a week off since the season started. Opposing coaches have obviously picked up on several things and effectively attacked ND’s weaknesses. Unfortunately they play USC next week before instead of after the bye.
Mike Palumbo says:
Of all the Fighting Irish football commentaries that I read (and there are many), I enjoy yours the most. It is insightful, straightforward and well written. I look forward to reading it every week.
PC says:
Just have a hunch, we can pull away in this one. Hartman has all his weapons this week and Estime will continue to gash smaller defenses. Irish 31-16
Kev says:
ND 42- Louisville 17. I think we win big in this one because our wide receivers are back, and the way Hartman responded to Duke last week by running that crazy 4th and 16th play and leading the game winning drive. If he hadn’t done that and ND ended up losing against Duke then I could see us having a letdown to the Cards this week but we won so the mindset is different. Plus I don’t think that the Cards match up well against ND. I don’t think their players are ready for this pressure. I think ND will respond favorably.
Kev says:
Plus last year Sam Hartman didn’t play particularly well against the cards and lost so I think he will be out for revenge.
David says:
I can say that I am grateful that MF seems to embrace what ND is. I have never felt good about our coaches since Lou. I do confess I was hopeful about Charlie for awhile.
GOND88 says:
I’m putting the Irish on upset alert. Jeff Brohm pulled several upsets while at Purdue in one case obliterating Urban Meyer’s tOSU Bucks. He knows how to psychologically prepare a team for big games.
ND can win if the offensive line plays more consistently to extend drives and keep the Louisville defense on the field, but after last week I’m a bit skeptical.
Jim says:
Offense: Avoid careless penalties. Defense: Stop missing tackles. I think if either those things happens, ND should win by more than a a touchdown. Otherwise, it could be close (or less likely a loss).
Jim says:
Man, was I wrong.
James McCart says:
IRISH by at least 2 touchdowns.
Irish Coffee says:
What an embarrassing game. Out couched and outplayed. The Marcus Freemam experiment is over. Forget about the USC game next week. ND will only score 13 points next week at best. There were no improvements since last week. On the job training is over! I cannot stand anymore of this. What a pathetic game!
bocceman2 says:
Jpe Ault getting knocked on his ass by a linebacker with two gimp knees sums this game up. Irish have regressed since Ohio State. Coaching is a joke. Like John McKay once said when asked about his team’s execution: “I’m in favor of it.”