UVa is #18 in the latest AP
by kmurphy173 (2019-09-23 10:46:02)

In reply to: I think the probability that ND will win out is up  posted by SEE


That may actually be our toughest game (outside of USC) remaining on the schedule.

Presumably you meant VT?


I was looking at Sagarin *
by SEE  (2019-09-23 11:20:21)     cannot delete  |  Edit  |  Return to Board  |  Ignore Poster   |   Highlight Poster  |   Reply to Post


18th is correct.
by PaulsboroNJIrish  (2019-09-23 10:57:23)     cannot delete  |  Edit  |  Return to Board  |  Ignore Poster   |   Highlight Poster  |   Reply to Post

There are only 2 possible good wins left for nd...usc and VA.

VA won't have any quality wins if they lose to ND, but could get to the ACC champ game. What would a VA team with 2 losses(with at least one being ugly) and no quality wins be ranked? High enough to help ND?

USC on the other hand could land really high...or with 4 or so losses.


UVa will never be considered a good win. No matter what
by btd  (2019-09-23 11:01:07)     cannot delete  |  Edit  |  Return to Board  |  Ignore Poster   |   Highlight Poster  |   Reply to Post

they do. Good wins are by definition only against traditionally elite teams. The media never considers a win over a one off team to be of any consequence when ND is involved.

Once UVa loses to ND, they will cease to be considered a good team and if they play Clemson and lose by 57 to them it will do even more to point out that they simply are the best of the remaining shit pile that exists in the ACC after Clemson.


UVa doesn't play Clemson this year
by tf86  (2019-09-23 15:15:17)     cannot delete  |  Edit  |  Return to Board  |  Ignore Poster   |   Highlight Poster  |   Reply to Post

ACC plays an 8-game conference schedule, with 6/8 conference games in division. One interdivision game is protected every year for every team. So there's only one rotating interdivision game every year. UVa already played Florida State, so that was it for them.


They could in the ACC Championship game
by KeoughCharles05  (2019-09-23 15:17:25)     cannot delete  |  Edit  |  Return to Board  |  Ignore Poster   |   Highlight Poster  |   Reply to Post

I think that's what the previous poster was implying with "If they play Clemson..."


Correct -- and that title game is before playoff selection *
by btd  (2019-09-23 17:43:31)     cannot delete  |  Edit  |  Return to Board  |  Ignore Poster   |   Highlight Poster  |   Reply to Post


Correct. Here's our remaining schedule
by KeoughCharles05  (2019-09-23 13:03:33)     cannot delete  |  Edit  |  Return to Board  |  Ignore Poster   |   Highlight Poster  |   Reply to Post

Virginia -- Even if they went 11-1, they'd have no wins over ranked teams. I suspect they might trip up against Duke, UNC, or Va Tech. But regardless, this is not a potential win to hang our hat on.

BGSU -- Again, we need to hang 100 on BVG. But this game doesn't mean shit.

USC -- Actually stands a decent chance of being a good win. They're 3-1, with a loss to a decent BYU team on the road, and a win over a good Utah team. Maybe we'll know more after the UW game this week?

Michigan -- Hot garbage. Should have lost to Army at home, killed by Wisconsin on the road. Could easily have two more losses by the time we play them (Iowa, PSU). Could very easily end up 6-6 this year.

Va Tech -- Hotter garbage. Lost to BC in week one, totally uninspiring against some dogshit programs in their week 2 and 3 games. Could have four losses by the time we play them. Unlikely to be above .500 at year's end.

Duke -- Don't know enough about them yet, but will never be a win to hang our hat on. Might be a decent team though. Lost 42-3 to Bama, beat Middle Tennessee more impressively than Michigan did. I'd guess in the 8-4 range.

Navy -- Not enough evidence to know what kind of Navy we'll see this year, but even good Navy will never be an impressive win. They're 2-0, and start playing real teams this week. Could range from garbage to Duke-level.

BC -- At best they go 9-3, at worst probably 6-6. But... Kansas. Nobody will give a shit about a win over BC for that game alone, no matter what they do the rest of the year.

Stanford -- On the path to an absolute dumpster fire. 1-3, with an uninspiring win over Northwestern, and three games of getting their shit handed to them by USC, UCF, and Oregon. They're clearly not a top 25 team, and will likely have at least 3 more losses by the time we play them (UW, WSU, Cal).


Syracuse last year. *
by Irish Tool  (2019-09-23 11:40:52)     cannot delete  |  Edit  |  Return to Board  |  Ignore Poster   |   Highlight Poster  |   Reply to Post


Agreed
by PaulsboroNJirish  (2019-09-23 11:04:24)     cannot delete  |  Edit  |  Return to Board  |  Ignore Poster   |   Highlight Poster  |   Reply to Post

It's awful to "rely" on teams like VT or VA.

It's also awful to sit here after 3 games and KNOW that there are only possibly 2 games left that "could" be big games...but also KNOW that 4 of them are loseable.